|
|
|
|
|
Zhi-Weng Chua, Yuriy Kuleshov and Jessica Bhardwaj
Most existing drought forecast systems rely only on observed or forecast rainfall, losing valuable context gained from considering both. The lack of a direct link between observed and forecast rainfall reduces the physical consistency of a system, motiva...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
José Francisco Lima, Fernanda Catarina Pereira, Arminda Manuela Gonçalves and Marco Costa
Linear models, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) models, and state-space models have been widely adopted to model and forecast economic data. While modeling using linear models and SARIMA models is well established in the literat...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Giuseppe Giunta, Alessandro Ceppi and Raffaele Salerno
Earth system predictions, from sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales, remain a challenging task, and the representation of predictability sources on seasonal timescales is a complex work. Nonetheless, advances in technology and science have been making con...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Supraja Malladi and Qiqi Lu
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a catastrophic effect on the healthcare system including organ transplants worldwide. The number of living donor transplants performed in the US was affected more significantly by the pandemic with a 22.6% decrease in counts...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
W. Dawoud, Ahmed M. El Kenawy, M. M. Abdel Wahab and A. H. Oraby
This study examines the seasonal and annual variability of black carbon (BC) and particular matter (PM1, 2.5, and 10) over Greater Cairo (Egypt) from 2003 to 2020. Data on PM and BC concentrations were gathered from the European Center for Medium-Range W...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natalí Carbo-Bustinza, Hasnain Iftikhar, Marisol Belmonte, Rita Jaqueline Cabello-Torres, Alex Rubén Huamán De La Cruz and Javier Linkolk López-Gonzales
In the modern era, air pollution is one of the most harmful environmental issues on the local, regional, and global stages. Its negative impacts go far beyond ecosystems and the economy, harming human health and environmental sustainability. Given these ...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Clare Mary Goodess, Alberto Troccoli, Nicholas Vasilakos, Stephen Dorling, Edward Steele, Jessica D. Amies, Hannah Brown, Katie Chowienczyk, Emma Dyer, Marco Formenton, Antonio M. Nicolosi, Elena Calcagni, Valentina Cavedon, Victor Estella Perez, Gertie Geertsema, Folmer Krikken, Kristian Lautrup Nielsen, Marcello Petitta, José Vidal, Martijn De Ruiter, Ian Savage and Jon UptonaddShow full author listremoveHide full author list
There is a growing need for more systematic, robust, and comprehensive information on the value-add of climate services from both the demand and supply sides. There is a shortage of published value-add assessments that focus on the decision-making contex...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Ferretti, Ugo Fiore, Francesca Perla, Marcello Risitano and Salvatore Scognamiglio
Accurate forecasts of containerised freight volumes are unquestionably important for port terminal operators to organise port operations and develop business plans. They are also relevant for port authorities, regulators, and governmental agencies dealin...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Katleho Makatjane and Tshepiso Tsoku
This study aims to overcome the problem of dimensionality, accurate estimation, and forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) uncertainty intervals in high frequency data. A Bayesian bootstrapping and backtest density forecasts, which a...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yuruixian Zhang, Wei Chong Choo, Jen Sim Ho and Cheong Kin Wan
Tourism forecasting has garnered considerable interest. However, integrating tourism forecasting with volatility is significantly less typical. This study investigates the performance of both the single models and their combinations for forecasting the v...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|