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Michael Wood, Emanuele Ogliari, Alfredo Nespoli, Travis Simpkins and Sonia Leva
Optimal behind-the-meter energy management often requires a day-ahead electric load forecast capable of learning non-linear and non-stationary patterns, due to the spatial disaggregation of loads and concept drift associated with time-varying physics and...
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Katleho Makatjane and Tshepiso Tsoku
This study aims to overcome the problem of dimensionality, accurate estimation, and forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) uncertainty intervals in high frequency data. A Bayesian bootstrapping and backtest density forecasts, which a...
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Jingtao Sun, Sensen Wu, Zhen Yan, Yadong Li, Cheng Yan, Feng Zhang, Renyi Liu and Zhenhong Du
Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is an epidemic infectious disease in China. Its incidence is affected by a variety of natural environmental and socioeconomic factors, and its transmission has strong seasonal and spatial heterogeneity. To quantify th...
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Antonia Longobardi, Nazzareno Diodato and Mirka Mobilia
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Precipitation extremes have always been part of the Earth?s climate system and associated multiple damaging hydrological events (MDHEs), the simultaneous triggering of different types of phenomena (landslides and floods), affect an always-increasing port...
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