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Francisco J. Soltero, Pablo Fernández-Blanco and J. Ignacio Hidalgo
Technical indicators use graphic representations of datasets by applying various mathematical formulas to financial time series of prices. These formulas comprise a set of rules and parameters whose values are not necessarily known and depend on many fac...
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Calin Vâlsan, Elena Druica and Eric Eisenstat
We propose an agent-based model of financial markets with only one asset. Thirty-two agents follow very simple rules inspired by Wolfram?s Rule 110. They engage in buying, selling, and/or holding. Each agent is endowed with a starting balance sheet marke...
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Mirza Sikalo, Almira Arnaut-Berilo and Azra Zaimovic
In this paper, we compared the models for selecting the optimal portfolio based on different risk measures to identify the periods in which some of the risk measures dominated over others. For decades, the best known return-risk model has been Markowitz?...
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Vladislav Zhdanov and Artem Simonov
Purpose: This article analyzes the influence of familiarity bias on respondents? decision-making process, using results from online experiments. Design/methodology/approach: A total of 255 research participants from post-Soviet countries completed 510 on...
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Alex Garivaltis
This note provides a neat and enjoyable expansion and application of the magnificent Ordentlich-Cover theory of ?universal portfolios?. I generalize Cover?s benchmark of the best constant-rebalanced portfolio (or 1-linear trading strategy) in hindsight b...
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Jaideep Singh and Matloob Khushi
Efficient Market Hypothesis states that stock prices are a reflection of all the information present in the world and generating excess returns is not possible by merely analysing trade data which is already available to all public. Yet to further the re...
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Ramesh Adhikari, Kyle J. Putnam and Humnath Panta
This paper examines the performance of a naïve equally weighted buy-and-hold portfolio and optimization-based commodity futures portfolios for various lookback and holding periods using data from January 1986 to December 2018. The application of Monte Ca...
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David Suda and Luke Spiteri
We implement hidden Markov models (HMMs) and hidden semi-Markov models (HSMMs) on Bitcoin/US dollar (BTC/USD) with the aim of market phase detection. We make analogous comparisons to Standard and Poor?s 500 (S and P 500), a benchmark traditional stock in...
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Rohnn Sanderson and Nancy L. Lumpkin-Sowers
The buy and hold stock market strategy, which gained tremendous popularity in the 1970s, may no longer be such a profitable method for accumulating wealth for the average investor in the new millennium. This paper investigates the relationship between co...
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Michael D. Mattei
After diversification, periodic portfolio rebalancing has become one of the most widely practiced methods for reducing portfolio risk and enhancing returns. Most of the rebalancing strategies found in the literature are generally regarded as contrarian a...
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