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Huiying Ren, Z. Jason Hou, Mark Wigmosta, Ying Liu and L. Ruby Leung
Changes in extreme precipitation events may require revisions of civil engineering standards to prevent water infrastructures from performing below the designated guidelines. Climate change may invalidate the intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) computatio...
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Chengtuan Yin, Weisheng Zhang, Mengjie Xiong, Jinhua Wang, Xin Xu, Jinshan Zhang, Junning Pan and Jinlan Guo
This study explores storm floods in the Yangtze Estuary to investigate how extreme sea levels and storm surges change in the context of global warming. Previous studies focused on the long-term variations in amplitude or frequency of storm surges, with l...
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Hadis Pakdel, Dev Raj Paudyal, Sreeni Chadalavada, Md Jahangir Alam and Majid Vazifedoust
The frequency and severity of extremes, including extreme precipitation events, extreme evapotranspiration and extreme water storage deficit events, are changing. Thus, the necessity for developing a framework that estimates non-stationary conditions is ...
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Abdullah Gokhan Yilmaz, Monzur Alam Imteaz, Abdallah Shanableh, Rami Al-Ruzouq, Serter Atabay and Khaled Haddad
A design flood is an essential input for water infrastructure design and flood protection. A flood frequency analysis has been traditionally performed under stationarity assumption indicating that the statistical properties of historical flooding will no...
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Katleho Makatjane and Tshepiso Tsoku
This study aims to overcome the problem of dimensionality, accurate estimation, and forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) uncertainty intervals in high frequency data. A Bayesian bootstrapping and backtest density forecasts, which a...
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Vusi Ntiyiso Masingi and Daniel Maposa
Extreme rainfall events have made significant damages to properties, public infrastructure and agriculture in some provinces of South Africa notably in KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng among others. The general global increase in the frequency and intensity of ...
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Alicia Takbash and Ian R. Young
A non-stationary extreme value analysis of 41 years (1979?2019) of global ERA5 (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis) significant wave height data is undertaken to investigate trends in the values of 100-year significant wave hei...
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Xiaohong Chen, Changqing Ye, Jiaming Zhang, Chongyu Xu, Lijuan Zhang and Yihan Tang
The stationarity assumption of hydrological processes has long been compromised by human disturbances in river basins. The traditional hydrological extreme-value analysis method, i.e., “extreme value theory” which assumes stationarity of the ...
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Jue Lin-Ye, Manuel García-León, Vicente Gràcia, M. Isabel Ortego, Adrian Stanica and Agustín Sánchez-Arcilla
The characterization of future wave-storms and their relationship to large-scale climate can provide useful information for environmental or urban planning at coastal areas. A hybrid methodology (process-based and statistical) was used to characterize th...
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Davide Luciano De Luca and Luciano Galasso
This study tests stationary and non-stationary approaches for modelling data series of hydro-meteorological variables. Specifically, the authors considered annual maximum rainfall accumulations observed in the Calabria region (southern Italy), and attent...
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