Inicio  /  Sustainability  /  Vol: 2 Núm: 2 Par: Februar (2010)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Estimating Arrival Numbers for Informal Recreation: A Geographical Approach and Case Study of British Woodlands

Andy Jones    
Jan Wright    
Ian Bateman and Marije Schaafsma    

Resumen

This paper describes a novel methodology for generating models of demand for informal outdoor recreation. We analyze visitor data from multiple forest sites across Great Britain. We introduce a wide range of variables typically omitted from most economic demand models of recreation. These include on-site characteristics, and off-site locational drivers of visitation including substitute and complement availability. A Poisson multilevel model is used to model visitor counts, and the methodology is applied to a dataset of more than 10,000 visits to open-access woodland sites. Results confirm it identifies a broader range of demand drivers than previously observed. The use of nationally available explanatory variables enhances the transferability and hence general applicability of the methodology.

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