ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Climate Change and its Influence on Tourism Fluctuation in the Araucania region of Chile

Maria Nicol Rivera Merino    
Leslie Viviana Sepúlveda Arriagada    
Claudia Andrea Silva Carrasco    

Resumen

The increasing rates of climate change have repercussions in different sectors economics of a nations. For the tourism industry, climate change affects its destinations, since it changes the flora and fauna, relief, and vegetation of the area. This paper analyses the impact of climate change on tourism fluctuations in the Araucanía Region of Chile. This analysis was conducted through descriptive research, of longitudinal scope and a mixed approach with a predominantly quantitative approach. Variables caused by climatechange that influence tourism fluctuations in the Araucanía region were analysed. The methodology contemplated the collection of statistical and bibliographic data. In addition, the development of a multiple linear regression model to explain the incidence of climate change on tourism, with "Overnight stays" as the study variable (y) that represents Tourism and "maximum temperatures and precipitation? as explanatory variables (x) that represent the climate change. To achieve this, data was obtained from January 2010 to December 2019. The results showed that climate change does affect positively the tourism, since it has an impact on the arrival of tourists to the region, through an increase in the maximum temperature that entails an increase in overnight stays, consequently in tourism in the Araucanía Region.Los crecientes índices del cambio climático repercuten en diferentes sectores económicos de una nación. Para el sector Turismo, el cambio climático afecta sus destinos, ya que produce cambios en la flora y fauna, relieves y vegetaciónde la zona. En este documento se analiza la incidencia del cambio climático en las fluctuaciones del turismo en la Región de la Araucanía, Chile. El análisis se realizó mediante una investigación descriptiva, de alcance longitudinal y de enfoque mixto con predominancia cuantitativa. La metodología contempló recopilación de datos estadísticos y bibliográficos, además, el desarrollo de un modelo de regresión lineal múltiple para explicar la incidencia del cambio climático en el turismo con ?Pernoctaciones? como la variable de estudio (y), que representa el turismo y ?temperaturas máximas y precipitaciones? como variables explicativas (x) las que representan el cambio climático. Para lograrlo se obtuvieron datos desde enero 2010 hasta diciembre 2019. Los resultados demostraron que el cambio climático si afecta el turismo de manera positiva ya que existe incidencia de este en la llegada de turistas a la región, a través de un aumento de la temperatura máxima que conlleva un aumento de pernoctaciones y por ende del turismo en la Región de la Araucanía.Received: 2022-11-01 Accepted for publication: 2022-11-04 Published: 2022-12-31

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