Inicio  /  Aerospace  /  Vol: 10 Par: 6 (2023)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Simulation-Based Prediction of Departure Aircraft Performance from Surveillance-like Data Using Neural Networks

Kiumars Askari and Michele Cremaschi    

Resumen

Estimating the environmental impact of aviation, in terms of noise and emissions, requires accurate knowledge of flight parameters such as departure/arrival procedure, aircraft mass, thrust and flap settings. However, these parameters are not available from radar/ADS-B data, which are the main sources of multiple flight-specific information including aircraft position over time. This paper introduces a novel approach to estimating these parameters from radar/ADS-B data using three neural network models trained on flight simulator data for the Boeing 747-400 airplane. The models are tested on 2204 simulated flights that are not used for training and that are transformed into radar/ADS-B data formats. The models are capable of predicting the unknown parameters for the ADS-B data format, with the weight prediction error being 2.63% of maximum takeoff weight, the average R2 score for the thrust profile prediction being 89.90% and the flap setting profile having an average R2 score of 84.68%, while for the radar-like data format, the values are 2.11%, 95.74% and 88.24%, respectively. The predicted parameters can be used to improve the environmental impact assessment of individual flights and to support policy-making and management decisions. This approach is a proof of concept based on simulation data that will need to be validated on real data before being applied in practice.

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Revista: Aerospace