Inicio  /  Hydrology  /  Vol: 5 Par: 4 (2018)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Impact of Hydrological Modellers? Decisions and Attitude on the Performance of a Calibrated Conceptual Catchment Model: Results from a ?Modelling Contest?

Helge Bormann    
Mariana Madruga De Brito    
Despoina Charchousi    
Dimitris Chatzistratis    
Amrei David    
Paula Farina Grosser    
Jenny Kebschull    
Alexandros Konis    
Paschalis Koutalakis    
Alkistis Korali    
Naomi Krauzig    
Jessica Meier    
Varvara Meliadou    
Markus Meinhardt    
Kieran Munnelly    
Christiane Stephan    
Leon Frederik De Vos    
Jörg Dietrich and Ourania Tzoraki    

Resumen

In this study, 17 hydrologists with different experience in hydrological modelling applied the same conceptual catchment model (HBV) to a Greek catchment, using identical data and model code. Calibration was performed manually. Subsequently, the modellers were asked for their experience, their calibration strategy, and whether they enjoyed the exercise. The exercise revealed that there is considerable modellers? uncertainty even among the experienced modellers. It seemed to be equally important whether the modellers followed a good calibration strategy, and whether they enjoyed modelling. The exercise confirmed previous studies about the benefit of model ensembles: Different combinations of the simulation results (median, mean) outperformed the individual model simulations, while filtering the simulations even improved the quality of the model ensembles. Modellers? experience, decisions, and attitude, therefore, have an impact on the hydrological model application and should be considered as part of hydrological modelling uncertainty.

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