ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Sensitivity of Flood Hazard and Damage to Modelling Approaches

Charlotte E. Lyddon    
Jennifer M. Brown    
Nicoletta Leonardi and Andrew J. Plater    

Resumen

Combination of uncertainties in water level and wave height predictions for extreme storms can result in unacceptable levels of error, rendering flood hazard assessment frameworks less useful. A 2D inundation model, LISFLOOD-FP, was used to quantify sensitivity of flooding to uncertainty in coastal hazard conditions and method used to force the coastal boundary of the model. It is shown that flood inundation is more sensitive to small changes in coastal hazard conditions due to the setup of the regional model, than the approach used to apply these conditions as boundary forcing. Once the threshold for flooding is exceeded, a few centimetres increase in combined water level and wave height increases both the inundation and consequent damage costs. Improved quantification of uncertainty in inundation assessments can aid long-term coastal flood hazard mitigation and adaptation strategies, to increase confidence in knowledge of how coastlines will respond to future changes in sea-level.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Chang-Young Ha, Beom-Jin Kim, Jae-Nam Lee and Byung-Hyun Kim    
In this study, the sensitivity of the parameters was analyzed using PEST (Parameter ESTimation) to improve the accuracy of the runoff and flooding analysis in urban areas. Using four parameters (watershed width, roughness coefficient of impervious and pe... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Rabin Chakrabortty, Subodh Chandra Pal, Dipankar Ruidas, Paramita Roy, Asish Saha and Indrajit Chowdhuri    
Flood, a distinctive natural calamity, has occurred more frequently in the last few decades all over the world, which is often an unexpected and inevitable natural hazard, but the losses and damages can be managed and controlled by adopting effective mea... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Hazem M. Eldeeb, Ali Ibrahim, Magdy H. Mowafy, Martina Zelenáková, Hany F. Abd-Elhamid, Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik and Mahmoud T. Ghonim    
Dams are built for different purposes, but failure of a dam could result in extreme disasters such as floods. The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) was mainly built for power generation, but concerns about its safety, location and site conditions ha... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Shuai Xie, Wan Liu, Zhe Yuan, Hongyun Zhang, Hang Lin and Yongqiang Wang    
Among the various natural disasters encountered by cities, rainstorm waterlogging has become a serious disaster, affecting the sustainable development of cities. Taking Guangzhou as the research object, based on disaster system theory and risk triangle t... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Andrey Kalugin    
The main goal of this study was to obtain new results on the physically based future hydrological consequences of climate change in the Amur, Lena, and Selenga River basins by using data from an ensemble of global climate (general circulation) models (GC... ver más
Revista: Water