Inicio  /  Water  /  Vol: 12 Par: 7 (2020)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Debris Flow Susceptibility Assessment Using the Integrated Random Forest Based Steady-State Infinite Slope Method: A Case Study in Changbai Mountain, China

Alu Si    
Jiquan Zhang    
Yichen Zhang    
Emmanuel Kazuva    
Zhenhua Dong    
Yongbin Bao and Guangzhi Rong    

Resumen

Debris flow events often pose significant damage and are a threat to infrastructure and even livelihoods. Recent studies have mainly focused on determining the susceptibility of debris flow using deterministic or heuristic/probabilistic models. However, each type of model has its own significant advantages with some irreparable disadvantages. The random forest model, which is sensitive to the region where the terrain conditions are suitable for the occurrence of debris flow, was applied along with the steady-state infinite slope method, which is capable of describing the initiation mechanism of debris flow. In this manner, a random-forest-based steady-state infinite slope method was used to conduct susceptibility assessment of debris-flow at Changbai mountain area. Results showed that the assessment accuracy of the proposed random-forest-based steady-state infinite slope method reached 90.88%; however, the accuracy of just the random forest model or steady-state infinite slope method was only 88.48% or 60.45%, respectively. Compared with the single-model assessment results, the assessment accuracy of the proposed method improved by 2.4% and 30.43%, respectively. Meanwhile, the debris-flow-prone area of the proposed method was reduced. The random-forest-based steady-state infinite slope method inherited the excellent diagnostic performance of the random-forest models in the region where the debris flow disaster already occurred; meanwhile, this method further refined the debris-flow-prone area from the suitable terrain area based on physico-mechanical properties; thus, the performance of this method was better than those of the other two models.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Zhiquan Yang, Xuguang Zhao, Mao Chen, Jie Zhang, Yi Yang, Wentao Chen, Xianfu Bai, Miaomiao Wang and Qi Wu    
Niumiangou valley, the epicenter of the 12 May 2008 Wenchuan earthquake (MS 8.0), became an area with frequent and dense debris flow disasters post-earthquake. Based on the in situ investigations after the earthquake on 14 August 2010 and a series of gat... ver más
Revista: Applied Sciences

 
Zhi Song, Gang Fan, Yanni Chen and Darui Liu    
Debris flow is a typical natural disaster in the middle reaches of the Dadu River, which seriously threatens the safety of life and property of local residents. However, there is currently a lack of a comprehensive analysis methods applicable to the bloc... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Na He, Xiangyang Qu, Zhiquan Yang, Linjuan Xu and Filip Gurkalo    
Taking the Niumian Gully landslide?debris-flow geohazard chain as an example, we analyze the disaster mechanism of the landslide?debris-flow geohazard chain and its evolution process through field investigation as a reference for disaster prevention and ... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Cheng Zhu, Shaoqi Wang, Na He, Hui Sun, Linjuan Xu and Filip Gurkalo    
To improve the accuracy of debris flow forecasts and serve as disaster prevention and mitigation, an accurate and intelligent early warning method of debris flow initiation based on the IGWO-LSTM algorithm is proposed. First, the entropy method is employ... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Li Li, Zhongxu Zhang, Dongsheng Zhao, Yue Qiang, Bo Ni, Hengbin Wu, Shengchao Hu and Hanjie Lin    
The occurrence of debris flows are a significant threat to human lives and property. Estimating the debris flow scale is a crucial parameter for assessing disaster losses in such events. Currently, the commonly used method for estimating debris flow runo... ver más
Revista: Water