Resumen
Despite being a minor probability event, marine accidents can cause serious consequences such as casualties, environmental damage, and even massive economic losses. As an important part of the marine traffic safety system, the evaluation of navigation safety in coastal waters is of great significance to ensure the safety of ship navigation. In order to objectively evaluate the safety of navigation, this paper proposes an irregular grid division method that combines influencing factors including seabed topography, ship traffic flow, electronic charts, and marine meteorology. In this work, the navigable boundary was extracted by spatial analysis algorithms of the slope calculation. Based on the alpha-shape algorithm and the Voronoi diagram, the constrained Delaunay triangulation was used to extract the inner and outer boundaries of the ship's navigation area, and the time-varying factors of marine hydrology and meteorology were integrated to form a dynamic irregular grid. The navigation safety evaluation indicators in coastal waters were divided into five risk levels, namely lower, low, medium, high, and higher. Then, the entropy weight theory was used to calculate the weight of the evaluation index. Finally, a safety evaluation model was constructed to evaluate the risk of navigation safety in coastal waters. Herein, taking the coastal waters of Lianyungang Port as a demonstration area, this paper divided the dynamic irregular grid and conducted the navigation safety analysis and evaluation based on the grid. The experimental results show that our method fully considers the influence of objective factors and the uncertainty of safety evaluation indicators and has favorable adaptability to the evaluation of navigation safety in coastal waters.