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ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Development of a Transnational Accident Prediction Model

Francesca La Torre    
Lorenzo Domenichini    
Monica Meocci    
Daniel Graham    
... Alexandra Laiou    

Resumen

The PRACT Project (Predicting Road ACcidents ? a Transferable methodology across Europe) is an ongoing project aimed at developing a European accident prediction model structure that could, with proper calibration, be applied to different European road networks. The core principles behind the PRACT project structure are that: ?it is unrealistic to think that one unique Accident Prediction Model (APM) model with a unique set of Crash Modification Factors (CMFs) can actually be developed, valid for all Europe and for all the different type of networks; ?the development of a specific APM model and a set of CMFs based on local data is extremely time consuming and expensive and requires data and experience that most road administrations do not have; ?the development of ?local? CMFs only based on historical local data prevents the possibility of evaluating the effectiveness of new technologies. The PRACT project addresses these issues by developing a practical guideline and a user friendly tool that will allow for an easier implementation of APMs and CMFs in different countries and on different road networks.

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