Redirigiendo al acceso original de articulo en 18 segundos...
Inicio  /  Hydrology  /  Vol: 7 Par: 3 (2020)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

An Evaluation Matrix to Compare Computer Hydrological Models for Flood Predictions

Pasquale Filianoti    
Luana Gurnari    
Demetrio Antonio Zema    
Giuseppe Bombino    
Marco Sinagra and Tullio Tucciarelli    

Resumen

In order to predict and control the impacts of floods in torrents, it is important to verify the simulation accuracy of the most used hydrological models. The performance verification is particularly needed for applications in watersheds with peculiar climatic and geomorphological characteristics, such as the Mediterranean torrents. Moreover, in addition to the accuracy, other factors affect the choice of software by stakeholders (users, modellers, researchers, etc.). This study introduces a ?performance matrix?, consisting of several evaluation parameters weighted by stakeholders? opinions. The aim is to evaluate the accuracy of the flood prediction which is achieved by different models, as well as the pros and cons of software user experience. To this aim, the performances and requisites of four physical-based and conceptual models (HEC-HMS, SWMM, MIKE11 NAM and WEC-FLOOD) have been evaluated, by predicting floods in a midsized Mediterranean watershed (Mèsima torrent, Calabria, Southern Italy). In the case study, HEC-HMS and MIKE 11 NAM were the best computer models (with a weighted score of 4.45 and 4.43, respectively), thanks to their low complexity and computation effort, as well as good user interface and prediction accuracy. However, MIKE11 NAM is not free of charge. SWMM showed a lower prediction accuracy, which put the model in third place of the four models. The performance of WEC-FLOOD, although not being as good as for the other tested models, can be considered overall acceptable in comparison to the other well-consolidated models, considering that WEC-FLOOD is in the early stage of development. Overall, the proposal of the performance matrix for hydrological models may represent a first step in building a more complete evaluation framework of the hydrological and hydraulic commercial models, in order to give indications to allow potential users to make an optimal choice.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Marco Carnevale Miino, Tatána Hale?ová, Tomá? Macsek, Jakub Racek and Petr Hlavínek    
Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) have been under intense investigation by the scientific community due to their persistence in the environment and potentially hazardous effects on living organisms. In order to tackle the presence of these comp... ver más

 
Ding Ma, Sijia Jiang, Xin Tan, Mingyu Yang, Qingbin Jiao and Liang Xu    
Using remote sensing and GIS techniques to monitor long time series land cover changes is of great significance to understanding the impact of human activities on spatiotemporal conflicts and changes in cropland and forest ecosystems in the black soil re... ver más

 
Fengjie Xie, Xiao Wang and Cuiping Ren    
The Belt and Road has developed rapidly in recent years. Constructing a comprehensive traffic network is conducive to promoting the development of the the Belt and Road. To optimize the layout of the Belt and Road comprehensive traffic network, this pape... ver más

 
Jun-Fang Wang, Jian-Fu Lin and Yan-Long Xie    
Subjected to complex loadings from the wheel?rail interaction, turnout rail is prone to crack damage. This paper aims to develop a condition evaluation method for crack-alike damage detection of in-service turnout rail. A covariance-based structural cond... ver más
Revista: Infrastructures

 
Yan Zhou, Kaixuan Zhou and Shuaixian Chen    
The rapid development of big data technology and mobile intelligent devices has led to the development of location-based social networks (LBSNs). To understand users? behavioral patterns and improve the accuracy of location-based services, point-of-inter... ver más