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Inicio  /  Sustainability  /  Vol: 10 Núm: 1 Par: January (2018)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

An Early Warning System for Oil Security in China

Qingsong Wang    
Hongrui Tang    
Xueliang Yuan    
Mansen Wang    
Hongkun Xiao and Zhi Ma    

Resumen

The oil system security in a country or region will affect its sustainable development ability. China?s oil security has risen to the national strategic level. It is urgent to construct an early warning indicator system to reflect the oil security level accurately, as well as to diagnose and assess the oil system status effectively and put forward the corresponding proposals for ensuring oil security. An early warning indicator system of China?s oil system covering 23 sub-indicators from three aspects, i.e., resource security, market security and consumption security, was constructed using the SPSS (Statistical Product and Service Solutions) factor analysis method. It shows that China?s oil system safety level has been seriously threatened and is generally declining. However, due to the strong introduction of energy policies and increasing energy utilization technology in recent years, the increasing proportion of new energy, renewable energy and oil substitutes eases the energy security threats. In response to complex oil security issues, the Chinese government needs to strengthen macroeconomic regulation and control at the policy level continuously, increase efforts to explore resource reserves, upgrade energy conservation and emission reduction technologies, develop new alternatives for oil products, and reduce the dependence on international oil imports.

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