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Inicio  /  Atmosphere  /  Vol: 8 Núm: 4 Par: April (2017)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Effect of Missing Data on Estimation of the Impact of Heat Waves: Methodological Concerns for Public Health Practice

Emily Leary    
Linda J. Young    
Melissa M. Jordan and Chris DuClos    

Resumen

(1) Background: To demonstrate the potential effects of missing exposure data and model choice on public health conclusions concerning the impact of heat waves on heat-related morbidity. (2) Methods: Using four different methods to impute missing exposure data, four statistical models (case-crossover, time-series, zero-inflated, and truncated models) are compared. The methods are used to relate heat waves, based on heat index, and heat-related morbidities for Florida from 2005?2012. (3) Results: Truncated models using maximum daily heat index, imputed using spatio-temporal methods, provided the best model fit of regional and statewide heat-related morbidity, outperforming the commonly used case-crossover and time-series analysis methods. (4) Conclusions: The extent of missing exposure data, the method used to impute missing exposure data and the statistical model chosen can influence statistical inference. Further, using a statewide truncated negative binomial model, statistically significant associations between heat-related morbidity and regional heat index effects were identified.

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