Resumen
This study aims to determine the impact of the International Civil Aviation Organization?s (ICAO) taxiway system development stages on runway capacity and delays in a single-runway airport that serves mixed operations by using a combined approach integrating the capacity-demand estimation analyses. We proposed a generic and systematic approach to taxiway development alternatives based on the ICAO guidelines rather than case-specific improvements presented in previous studies. The Samsun Çarsamba Airport (LTFH), which has the most basic level of taxiway layout, was chosen as a case study. The development stages were modeled and run in a fast-time simulation environment for different traffic scenarios based on historical data. As a result of modelling, average airborne and gate waiting delay of arrivals, queue delay of departures, taxi times, and runway occupation times were obtained. In addition, gate sensitivity and cost-benefit analyses were carried out. A triple exponential smoothing forecast was performed for different scenarios including normal, runway closures, COVID-19, and recovery from COVID-19. Practical capacities of the stages were revealed using the results of simulation and traffic demand forecasts. In addition, we evaluated the potential operational improvements of the stages by modifying a previously presented mathematical model. The proposed approach can assist airport operators in predicting the airport capacity saturation and selecting the best capacity improvement strategy for unexpected events.