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Shari De Baets, Dilek Önkal and Wasim Ahmed
Many people do not possess the necessary savings to deal with unexpected financial events. People?s biases play a significant role in their ability to forecast future financial shocks: they are typically overoptimistic, present-oriented, and generally un...
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Chien-Min Kang, Ming-Chieh Wang and Lin Lin
In response to relatively little evidence on the determinants of the financial distress in cooperative financial institutions (e.g., Credit Unions), this paper proposes a distress indicator of Merton Distance to default (Merton DD), which was constructed...
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Gonca Gürses-Tran and Antonello Monti
Forecast developers predominantly assess residuals and error statistics when tuning the targeted model?s quality. With that, eventual cost or rewards of the underlying business application are typically not considered in the model development phase. The ...
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El houssin Ouassou and Hafsa Taya
Tourism is one of the main sources of wealth for the Moroccan regions, since, in 2019, it contributed 7.1% to the total GDP. However, it is considered to be one of the sectors most vulnerable to exogenous shocks (political and social stability, currency ...
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Chaojiao Sun, Alistair J. Hobday, Scott A. Condie, Mark E. Baird, J. Paige Eveson, Jason R. Hartog, Anthony J. Richardson, Andrew D. L. Steven, Karen Wild-Allen, Russell C. Babcock, Dezhou Yang, Rencheng Yu and Mathieu Mongin
In times of rapid change and rising human pressures on marine systems, information about the future state of the ocean can provide decision-makers with time to avoid adverse impacts and maximise opportunities. An ecological forecast predicts changes in e...
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