Redirigiendo al acceso original de articulo en 17 segundos...
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Analysis and Evaluation of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on Prevention and Control of COVID-19: A Case Study of Wuhan City

Wen Cao    
Haoran Dai    
Jingwen Zhu    
Yuzhen Tian and Feilin Peng    

Resumen

As the threat of COVID-19 increases, many countries have carried out various non-pharmaceutical interventions. Although many studies have evaluated the impact of these interventions, there is a lack of mapping between model parameters and actual geographic areas. In this study, a non-pharmaceutical intervention model of COVID-19 based on a discrete grid is proposed from the perspective of geography. This model can provide more direct and effective information for the formulation of prevention and control policies. First, a multi-level grid was introduced to divide the geographical space, and the properties of the grid boundary were used to describe the quarantine status and intensity in these different spaces; this was also combined with the model of hospital isolation and self-protection. Then, a process for the spatiotemporal evolution of the early COVID-19 spread is proposed that integrated the characteristics of residents? daily activities. Finally, the effect of the interventions was quantitatively analyzed by the dynamic transmission model of COVID-19. The results showed that quarantining is the most effective intervention, especially for infectious diseases with a high infectivity. The introduction of a quarantine could effectively reduce the number of infected humans, advance the peak of the maximum infected number of people, and shorten the duration of the pandemic. However, quarantines only function properly when employed at sufficient intensity; hospital isolation and self-protection measures can effectively slow the spread of COVID-19, thus providing more time for the relevant departments to prepare, but an outbreak will occur again when the hospital reaches full capacity. Moreover, medical resources should be concentrated in places where there is the most urgent need under a strict quarantine measure.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Siyuan Chen, Zao Zhang, Cheng Wang, Lifeng Tan, Huanjie Liu, Hong Yuan, Rui Zhang and Rui Hu    
Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is emerging as a key aspect of the global shift towards a more sustainable energy mix. Nevertheless, existing assessment models predominantly concentrate on predicting the overall capacity of PV power generation, often ... ver más
Revista: Buildings

 
Ji Hye Kim, Dae Uk Shin and Heegang Kim    
Data centers are energy-intensive facilities, with over 95% of their total cooling load attributed to the heat generated by information technology equipment (ITE). Various energy-saving techniques have been employed to enhance data center efficiency and ... ver más
Revista: Buildings

 
Bingyu Zhang, Yingtang Wei, Ronghua Liu, Shunzhen Tian and Kai Wei    
The calibration and validation of hydrological model simulation performance and model applicability evaluation in Gansu Province is the foundation of the application of the flash flood early warning and forecasting platform in Gansu Province. It is diffi... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Nuaman Ejaz, Aftab Haider Khan, Muhammad Shahid, Kifayat Zaman, Khaled S. Balkhair, Khalid Mohammed Alghamdi, Khalil Ur Rahman and Songhao Shang    
Satellite precipitation products (SPPs) are undeniably subject to uncertainty due to retrieval algorithms and sampling issues. Many research efforts have concentrated on merging SPPs to create high-quality merged precipitation datasets (MPDs) in order to... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Maja Ahac, Sa?a Ahac, Igor Majstorovic and ?eljko Stepan    
This paper aims to contribute to the process of evaluating urban rail infrastructure projects through the presentation of the methodology and the results of a preliminary feasibility study concerning the revitalization, development, and (re)integration o... ver más
Revista: Infrastructures