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ARTÍCULO
TITULO

TAR-Based Domino Effect Model for Maritime Accidents

Xiao-Fei Ma    
Guo-You Shi and Zheng-Jiang Liu    

Resumen

To thoroughly figure out the distribution and formation mechanism of maritime accidents, this study proposes a domino effect model based on temporal association rules (TAR) to analyze and mine the secrets behind the accident?the formation mechanism of accident chains. In this study, the British Marine Accident Investigation Branch (MAIB) accident reports are gathered and examined. Of which, Ro-Ro ships, general cargo ships, and container ships are the top three ship types discussed. The domino effect model is applied to the detected accidents, yielding a series of results. These show that the resulting values from unsafe working practices to death while working are very high and are 8.622 (Ro-Ro ship), 5.920 (General cargo ship) and 6.441 (Container ship), respectively. It indicates that unsafe working practices are very prone to accidents involving death while working. The approach is ubiquitous, and the accident chains compiled from them may be widely employed in marine accident prevention and proactive safety management.